Anthony Marr’s open letter to China – China, Save Yourself!


Please forward this to as many of your Chinese contacts as possible. Thank you.
Anthony

—————————————————————————————————–

Anthony Marr’s open letter to China :

Although I am a Canadian by nationality and western by career, I am Chinese by birth and upbringing, and what happens in China , and to China , is important to me. Thus, I always feel a sense of pride whenever China excels, such as in being the birth place and home of the world’s best martial arts, and her brilliant hosting of and performances in the 2008 Olympics. Conversely, I always feel a sense of shame whenever China appalls the world with her human and animal abuses.

Case in point here is my previous pride in China’s recent open championing of the all-electric vehicle, and my disappointment in her withdrawal from it under economic influences (see the article below), in this our new era where Ecology must be given priority over Economy.

This retro move on China ‘s part will worsen climate change and spur global warming. These have devastating global consequences – sea-level-rise, unbearable heat, and prolonged drought in many “bread baskets” and rainforests of the world. In terms of sea-level rise, the world will lose an enormous amount of highly populated and agriculturally productive land, including the U.S. east and south, northern Europe and the Amazon Basin .

Where China is concerned, the historic Jung Yuan (Central Plain) will be by and large submerged, including 10 of the most populous, fertile and productive provinces (Liaoning, Hebei, Shandong, Jiangsu, Anhui, Jiangxi, Hubei, Hunan, Henan and Shanxi), and 20 of the greatest cities (Beijing, Shenyang, Tianjin, Dalian, Hohhot, Shijiaziang, Shanghai, Taiyuan, Jinan, Zhengzhou, Yantai, Qingdao, Lianyungang, Nanjing, Hetei, Wuhan, Hangzhou, Nanchang, Changsha and Hong Kong).

This will wipe out also the entire historic and agricultural China , leaving just the high desert to the north, the badlands to the far west, and the mountains to the near west and south. Not just millions but over a billion Chinese people will have to be relocated, but to where? This will make the Three Gorges Dam displacements look like a mere practice exercise.

China has a continuous history in the Central Plains for 4,500 years. The Central Plain is China . But partly due to what the Chinese have elected to do in 2009, China will soon lose herself to the sea, and the rest to heat and drought, while the United States and, say, India, will remain geographically largely intact. Is the current Chinese leadership willing to take this responsibility of China ‘s not-too-distant self-destruction?

The Chinese is admired for defining “crisis” as a “dangerous opportunity”. I hope that China will use this dangerous crisis as an opportunity to lead the world from the edge of the abyss.

Sincerely,

Anthony Marr, founder and president
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.MySpace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.YouTube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.ARConference.org

———————————————————————————-

China green car dream meets economic reality

Fri Mar 13, 2009 3:43am EDT

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By Leonora Walet – Analysis

HONG KONG (Reuters) – China ‘s campaign to bring cleaner, low-emission vehicles to its roads may take a back seat as the government seeks first to stimulate growth and counter dwindling sales in the world’s largest car market.

Battery and car maker BYD Ltd and other Chinese auto manufacturers with ambitions to be among the first globally to market all-electric vehicles are pinning their hopes on regulatory support to spur demand.

But creating an emission-free vehicle market for China is unlikely to be a priority. While China has made much progress in setting standards regulating vehicle emissions, it has not gone as far as providing incentives for individual buyers of the expensive, but low-polluting cars.

“I hope government subsidies can help boost demand, because this is good technology, though expensive compared to conventional cars,” Henry Li, general manager for BYD’s auto unit, said in an interview at the firm’s Shenzhen headquarters.

China, the fastest growing major market for vehicles, is also the world’s largest emitter of greenhouse gases.

Car sales growth in China , which overtook the United States in January to become the world’s largest auto market, slowed to a single-digit rate in 2008 for the first time in at least 10 years as consumer confidence waned in a slowing economy, spurring government steps to bolster demand.

To lure buyers back into showrooms, Beijing in January unveiled a raft of policies including halving the auto purchase tax for cars with engine sizes below 1.6 liters. The government also scrapped some road fees and offered subsidies for farmers to boost demand for fuel-efficient vehicles in rural areas.

But given the high cost of developing hybrid and all-electric cars, automakers require more than the lifting of road fees and tax breaks to stimulate demand, experts said.

“There should be some incentives in place to convince consumers to switch to electric cars,” said Sinling Chung, chief executive officer of Hong Kong-based EuAuto Technology Ltd, which recently began marketing a China-made microcar in Europe .

“There is also the issue of infrastructure. At some point car owners will need juice points where they can park and plug in the cars,” said Chung in an interview at EuAuto’s Shenzhen plant.

EuAuto plans to sell its two-door micro cars in China within three years, but has turned first to Europe , where subsidies for consumers help drive demand for electric cars.

HYBRID CARS

BYD started selling a plug-in electric hybrid car in December, called the F3 dual-mode or F3DM, which charges through a conventional home outlet and is supported by a small petrol engine. BYD, known for its cell phone batteries and famous investor, Warren Buffett, plans to roll out its all-electric car, the e6, later this year. That could make it the world’s first commercially-distributed electric car.

More established Chinese carmakers have also been developing hybrid and all-electric cars.

Wuhu-based Chery Automobile built a hybrid model, the A5, and unveiled a prototype of its pure electric car, the S18 in February, while Shanghai General Motors Ltd, the 50-50 joint venture between General Motors Corp and SAIC Motor Corp, introduced the Buick LaCrosse Eco-hybrid in China last July.

The expensive cars, however, have not been flying out of showrooms.

BYD’s F3DM sells at about 150,000 yuan ($21,935), which is 30-40 percent cheaper than Toyota ‘s Prius in China . It is still double the cost of a comparable gasoline-powered car.

Toyota’s Prius, whose battery stores energy from the engine to boost car power, sold 3,465 units from 2006 to 2008 in China — fewer than expected, according to Daiwai analyst Ricon Xia.

Honda Motor Co put off plans to produce its hybrid model locally due to poor market response to its Hybrid Civic, Xia said, while Shanghai GM’s LaCrosse sold less than 600 units in the second half of last year.

GREEN CAR PROGRAM

China stepped up its support of green vehicles in January, offering up to 500,000 yuan in subsidies for companies and agencies purchasing electric vehicles for fleet use.

While the move was seen as positive for makers of green cars, experts say it will do very little to create demand unless subsidies are extended to individual car buyers.

“Extending a subsidy to a mass market will be a powerful incentive, but requires a lot of money,” said JP Morgan analyst Charles Guo.

“There may be some debate whether this is necessary, so it’s unlikely for the program to be expanded near term,” he said.

For now, Beijing is more focused on driving consolidation in its fragmented and overcrowded car industry.

Beijing is widely expected to soon issue a detailed plan allowing big state-run companies to take over smaller rivals.

“The most important thing for the government right now is to increase demand and restructure the sector, ” said Vivien Chan, analyst with SinoPac Securities ( Asia ) Ltd. “Developing the green car segment is secondary to all the other objectives.”

($1=6.839 Yuan)

(Additional reporting by Fang Yan in SHANGHAI ; Editing by Tony Munroe and Lincoln Feast)

© Thomson Reuters 2009 All rights reserved

Anthony Marr, founder and president
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.MySpace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.YouTube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.ARConference.org

Advertisements


Please forward this to as many of your Chinese contacts as possible. Thank you.
Anthony

—————————————————————————————————–

Anthony Marr’s open letter to China :

Although I am a Canadian by nationality and western by career, I am Chinese by birth and upbringing, and what happens in China , and to China , is important to me. Thus, I always feel a sense of pride whenever China excels, such as in being the birth place and home of the world’s best martial arts, and her brilliant hosting of and performances in the 2008 Olympics. Conversely, I always feel a sense of shame whenever China appalls the world with her human and animal abuses.

Case in point here is my previous pride in China’s recent open championing of the all-electric vehicle, and my disappointment in her withdrawal from it under economic influences (see the article below), in this our new era where Ecology must be given priority over Economy.

This retro move on China ‘s part will worsen climate change and spur global warming. These have devastating global consequences – sea-level-rise, unbearable heat, and prolonged drought in many “bread baskets” and rainforests of the world. In terms of sea-level rise, the world will lose an enormous amount of highly populated and agriculturally productive land, including the U.S. east and south, northern Europe and the Amazon Basin .

Where China is concerned, the historic Jung Yuan (Central Plain) will be by and large submerged, including 10 of the most populous, fertile and productive provinces (Liaoning, Hebei, Shandong, Jiangsu, Anhui, Jiangxi, Hubei, Hunan, Henan and Shanxi), and 20 of the greatest cities (Beijing, Shenyang, Tianjin, Dalian, Hohhot, Shijiaziang, Shanghai, Taiyuan, Jinan, Zhengzhou, Yantai, Qingdao, Lianyungang, Nanjing, Hetei, Wuhan, Hangzhou, Nanchang, Changsha and Hong Kong).

This will wipe out also the entire historic and agricultural China , leaving just the high desert to the north, the badlands to the far west, and the mountains to the near west and south. Not just millions but over a billion Chinese people will have to be relocated, but to where? This will make the Three Gorges Dam displacements look like a mere practice exercise.

China has a continuous history in the Central Plains for 4,500 years. The Central Plain is China . But partly due to what the Chinese have elected to do in 2009, China will soon lose herself to the sea, and the rest to heat and drought, while the United States and, say, India, will remain geographically largely intact. Is the current Chinese leadership willing to take this responsibility of China ‘s not-too-distant self-destruction?

The Chinese is admired for defining “crisis” as a “dangerous opportunity”. I hope that China will use this dangerous crisis as an opportunity to lead the world from the edge of the abyss.

Sincerely,

Anthony Marr, founder and president
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.MySpace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.YouTube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.ARConference.org

———————————————————————————-

China green car dream meets economic reality

Fri Mar 13, 2009 3:43am EDT

Email | Print |

Share

| Reprints | Single Page

[-] Text [+]

Photo

1 of 1Full Size

By Leonora Walet – Analysis

HONG KONG (Reuters) – China ‘s campaign to bring cleaner, low-emission vehicles to its roads may take a back seat as the government seeks first to stimulate growth and counter dwindling sales in the world’s largest car market.

Battery and car maker BYD Ltd and other Chinese auto manufacturers with ambitions to be among the first globally to market all-electric vehicles are pinning their hopes on regulatory support to spur demand.

But creating an emission-free vehicle market for China is unlikely to be a priority. While China has made much progress in setting standards regulating vehicle emissions, it has not gone as far as providing incentives for individual buyers of the expensive, but low-polluting cars.

“I hope government subsidies can help boost demand, because this is good technology, though expensive compared to conventional cars,” Henry Li, general manager for BYD’s auto unit, said in an interview at the firm’s Shenzhen headquarters.

China, the fastest growing major market for vehicles, is also the world’s largest emitter of greenhouse gases.

Car sales growth in China , which overtook the United States in January to become the world’s largest auto market, slowed to a single-digit rate in 2008 for the first time in at least 10 years as consumer confidence waned in a slowing economy, spurring government steps to bolster demand.

To lure buyers back into showrooms, Beijing in January unveiled a raft of policies including halving the auto purchase tax for cars with engine sizes below 1.6 liters. The government also scrapped some road fees and offered subsidies for farmers to boost demand for fuel-efficient vehicles in rural areas.

But given the high cost of developing hybrid and all-electric cars, automakers require more than the lifting of road fees and tax breaks to stimulate demand, experts said.

“There should be some incentives in place to convince consumers to switch to electric cars,” said Sinling Chung, chief executive officer of Hong Kong-based EuAuto Technology Ltd, which recently began marketing a China-made microcar in Europe .

“There is also the issue of infrastructure. At some point car owners will need juice points where they can park and plug in the cars,” said Chung in an interview at EuAuto’s Shenzhen plant.

EuAuto plans to sell its two-door micro cars in China within three years, but has turned first to Europe , where subsidies for consumers help drive demand for electric cars.

HYBRID CARS

BYD started selling a plug-in electric hybrid car in December, called the F3 dual-mode or F3DM, which charges through a conventional home outlet and is supported by a small petrol engine. BYD, known for its cell phone batteries and famous investor, Warren Buffett, plans to roll out its all-electric car, the e6, later this year. That could make it the world’s first commercially-distributed electric car.

More established Chinese carmakers have also been developing hybrid and all-electric cars.

Wuhu-based Chery Automobile built a hybrid model, the A5, and unveiled a prototype of its pure electric car, the S18 in February, while Shanghai General Motors Ltd, the 50-50 joint venture between General Motors Corp and SAIC Motor Corp, introduced the Buick LaCrosse Eco-hybrid in China last July.

The expensive cars, however, have not been flying out of showrooms.

BYD’s F3DM sells at about 150,000 yuan ($21,935), which is 30-40 percent cheaper than Toyota ‘s Prius in China . It is still double the cost of a comparable gasoline-powered car.

Toyota’s Prius, whose battery stores energy from the engine to boost car power, sold 3,465 units from 2006 to 2008 in China — fewer than expected, according to Daiwai analyst Ricon Xia.

Honda Motor Co put off plans to produce its hybrid model locally due to poor market response to its Hybrid Civic, Xia said, while Shanghai GM’s LaCrosse sold less than 600 units in the second half of last year.

GREEN CAR PROGRAM

China stepped up its support of green vehicles in January, offering up to 500,000 yuan in subsidies for companies and agencies purchasing electric vehicles for fleet use.

While the move was seen as positive for makers of green cars, experts say it will do very little to create demand unless subsidies are extended to individual car buyers.

“Extending a subsidy to a mass market will be a powerful incentive, but requires a lot of money,” said JP Morgan analyst Charles Guo.

“There may be some debate whether this is necessary, so it’s unlikely for the program to be expanded near term,” he said.

For now, Beijing is more focused on driving consolidation in its fragmented and overcrowded car industry.

Beijing is widely expected to soon issue a detailed plan allowing big state-run companies to take over smaller rivals.

“The most important thing for the government right now is to increase demand and restructure the sector, ” said Vivien Chan, analyst with SinoPac Securities ( Asia ) Ltd. “Developing the green car segment is secondary to all the other objectives.”

($1=6.839 Yuan)

(Additional reporting by Fang Yan in SHANGHAI ; Editing by Tony Munroe and Lincoln Feast)

© Thomson Reuters 2009 All rights reserved

Anthony Marr, founder and president
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.MySpace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.YouTube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.ARConference.org


Please forward this to as many of your Chinese contacts as possible. Thank you.
Anthony

—————————————————————————————————–

Anthony Marr’s open letter to China :

Although I am a Canadian by nationality and western by career, I am Chinese by birth and upbringing, and what happens in China , and to China , is important to me. Thus, I always feel a sense of pride whenever China excels, such as in being the birth place and home of the world’s best martial arts, and her brilliant hosting of and performances in the 2008 Olympics. Conversely, I always feel a sense of shame whenever China appalls the world with her human and animal abuses.

Case in point here is my previous pride in China’s recent open championing of the all-electric vehicle, and my disappointment in her withdrawal from it under economic influences (see the article below), in this our new era where Ecology must be given priority over Economy.

This retro move on China ‘s part will worsen climate change and spur global warming. These have devastating global consequences – sea-level-rise, unbearable heat, and prolonged drought in many “bread baskets” and rainforests of the world. In terms of sea-level rise, the world will lose an enormous amount of highly populated and agriculturally productive land, including the U.S. east and south, northern Europe and the Amazon Basin .

Where China is concerned, the historic Jung Yuan (Central Plain) will be by and large submerged, including 10 of the most populous, fertile and productive provinces (Liaoning, Hebei, Shandong, Jiangsu, Anhui, Jiangxi, Hubei, Hunan, Henan and Shanxi), and 20 of the greatest cities (Beijing, Shenyang, Tianjin, Dalian, Hohhot, Shijiaziang, Shanghai, Taiyuan, Jinan, Zhengzhou, Yantai, Qingdao, Lianyungang, Nanjing, Hetei, Wuhan, Hangzhou, Nanchang, Changsha and Hong Kong).

This will wipe out also the entire historic and agricultural China , leaving just the high desert to the north, the badlands to the far west, and the mountains to the near west and south. Not just millions but over a billion Chinese people will have to be relocated, but to where? This will make the Three Gorges Dam displacements look like a mere practice exercise.

China has a continuous history in the Central Plains for 4,500 years. The Central Plain is China . But partly due to what the Chinese have elected to do in 2009, China will soon lose herself to the sea, and the rest to heat and drought, while the United States and, say, India, will remain geographically largely intact. Is the current Chinese leadership willing to take this responsibility of China ‘s not-too-distant self-destruction?

The Chinese is admired for defining “crisis” as a “dangerous opportunity”. I hope that China will use this dangerous crisis as an opportunity to lead the world from the edge of the abyss.

Sincerely,

Anthony Marr, founder and president
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.MySpace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.YouTube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.ARConference.org

———————————————————————————-

China green car dream meets economic reality

Fri Mar 13, 2009 3:43am EDT

Email | Print |

Share

| Reprints | Single Page

[-] Text [+]

Photo

1 of 1Full Size

By Leonora Walet – Analysis

HONG KONG (Reuters) – China ‘s campaign to bring cleaner, low-emission vehicles to its roads may take a back seat as the government seeks first to stimulate growth and counter dwindling sales in the world’s largest car market.

Battery and car maker BYD Ltd and other Chinese auto manufacturers with ambitions to be among the first globally to market all-electric vehicles are pinning their hopes on regulatory support to spur demand.

But creating an emission-free vehicle market for China is unlikely to be a priority. While China has made much progress in setting standards regulating vehicle emissions, it has not gone as far as providing incentives for individual buyers of the expensive, but low-polluting cars.

“I hope government subsidies can help boost demand, because this is good technology, though expensive compared to conventional cars,” Henry Li, general manager for BYD’s auto unit, said in an interview at the firm’s Shenzhen headquarters.

China, the fastest growing major market for vehicles, is also the world’s largest emitter of greenhouse gases.

Car sales growth in China , which overtook the United States in January to become the world’s largest auto market, slowed to a single-digit rate in 2008 for the first time in at least 10 years as consumer confidence waned in a slowing economy, spurring government steps to bolster demand.

To lure buyers back into showrooms, Beijing in January unveiled a raft of policies including halving the auto purchase tax for cars with engine sizes below 1.6 liters. The government also scrapped some road fees and offered subsidies for farmers to boost demand for fuel-efficient vehicles in rural areas.

But given the high cost of developing hybrid and all-electric cars, automakers require more than the lifting of road fees and tax breaks to stimulate demand, experts said.

“There should be some incentives in place to convince consumers to switch to electric cars,” said Sinling Chung, chief executive officer of Hong Kong-based EuAuto Technology Ltd, which recently began marketing a China-made microcar in Europe .

“There is also the issue of infrastructure. At some point car owners will need juice points where they can park and plug in the cars,” said Chung in an interview at EuAuto’s Shenzhen plant.

EuAuto plans to sell its two-door micro cars in China within three years, but has turned first to Europe , where subsidies for consumers help drive demand for electric cars.

HYBRID CARS

BYD started selling a plug-in electric hybrid car in December, called the F3 dual-mode or F3DM, which charges through a conventional home outlet and is supported by a small petrol engine. BYD, known for its cell phone batteries and famous investor, Warren Buffett, plans to roll out its all-electric car, the e6, later this year. That could make it the world’s first commercially-distributed electric car.

More established Chinese carmakers have also been developing hybrid and all-electric cars.

Wuhu-based Chery Automobile built a hybrid model, the A5, and unveiled a prototype of its pure electric car, the S18 in February, while Shanghai General Motors Ltd, the 50-50 joint venture between General Motors Corp and SAIC Motor Corp, introduced the Buick LaCrosse Eco-hybrid in China last July.

The expensive cars, however, have not been flying out of showrooms.

BYD’s F3DM sells at about 150,000 yuan ($21,935), which is 30-40 percent cheaper than Toyota ‘s Prius in China . It is still double the cost of a comparable gasoline-powered car.

Toyota’s Prius, whose battery stores energy from the engine to boost car power, sold 3,465 units from 2006 to 2008 in China — fewer than expected, according to Daiwai analyst Ricon Xia.

Honda Motor Co put off plans to produce its hybrid model locally due to poor market response to its Hybrid Civic, Xia said, while Shanghai GM’s LaCrosse sold less than 600 units in the second half of last year.

GREEN CAR PROGRAM

China stepped up its support of green vehicles in January, offering up to 500,000 yuan in subsidies for companies and agencies purchasing electric vehicles for fleet use.

While the move was seen as positive for makers of green cars, experts say it will do very little to create demand unless subsidies are extended to individual car buyers.

“Extending a subsidy to a mass market will be a powerful incentive, but requires a lot of money,” said JP Morgan analyst Charles Guo.

“There may be some debate whether this is necessary, so it’s unlikely for the program to be expanded near term,” he said.

For now, Beijing is more focused on driving consolidation in its fragmented and overcrowded car industry.

Beijing is widely expected to soon issue a detailed plan allowing big state-run companies to take over smaller rivals.

“The most important thing for the government right now is to increase demand and restructure the sector, ” said Vivien Chan, analyst with SinoPac Securities ( Asia ) Ltd. “Developing the green car segment is secondary to all the other objectives.”

($1=6.839 Yuan)

(Additional reporting by Fang Yan in SHANGHAI ; Editing by Tony Munroe and Lincoln Feast)

© Thomson Reuters 2009 All rights reserved

Anthony Marr, founder and president
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.MySpace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.YouTube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.ARConference.org

Anthony Marr’s frightening LHF-based climate change prediction


How the CLIMATE will CHANGE
The role of Latent Heat of Fusion in Global Warming

by
Anthony Marr

The following is a thought experiment in geophysics performed by Anthony Marr in regards to climate change and how it will unfold over the next few decades. It may or may not be the same as any modeling being conducted by anyone else, past or present. If so, it is a mutual confirmation. If not, it will shed light on how the climate will change not yet been seen.

The crucial item in this consideration is called Latent Heat, or Enthalpy. “Latent” means “hidden”. The following will explain.

On a hot and dry day, sweating will cool the body, because when the sweat evaporates, it absorbs “latent heat of evaporation” from it’s surroundings, mostly your skin. So, in a real sense, heat is removed from your skin to change the sweat from liguid to vapor. Conversely, if steam hits your skin and condenses into water, it would release the latent heat, thus heating your skin even more than boiling water. Simply, latent heat is absorbed when a substance changes from solid to liquid and from liquid to vapor, and it is released when the vapor condenses into liquid, and when the liquid freezes into solid. The latent heat involved in melting and solidification is called the Latent Heat of Fusion (LHF), and that involved in boiling and condensation is called the Latent Heat of Evaporation (LHE). For water, the LHF is 40 calories or 334 jules per gram, and the LHE (at the boiling point) is 280 calories or 2260 jules per gram.

The thing to note about LHF and LHE is this. When heat is applied to water above freezing, say, +10C/+48F, the more heat applied, the higher the temperature of the water becomes, which is common sense. But if heat is applied to a bucket of ice at, say, -10C/+16F, the content of the bucket would warm up to 0C/32F, but no higher, no matter how much more heat is applied. More heat will raise the melting rate, but not the temperature. But once all the ice had melted, the temperature of the result water will rise as more heat is applied. That amount of heat needed to melt all the ice without raising the temperature from the melting point is the Latent Heat of Fusion (LHF). And likewise for the LHE for boiling water.

The Latent Heat of Fusion (LHF) in regards to Arctic, Antarctic, Greenland and glacial ice will play a huge role in determining how future climate change will unfold. Here in a nutshell is what and how and when and why.

The temperature of the sea ice is of course 0C/32F, whereas the water of the Arctic Ocean in the summer is around 5C/40F. Thus, it melts the ice from below. When the ice melts, it abosrbs LHF from both the water below, and the air above. Thus, it cools the air as well as the water.

At the same time, since the sea ice meltdown has exposed the northern shoreline of Europe and Siberia to the warmer water, the water will warm up the air above the land to as far as 1,000 km /600 miles inland, thus melting the permafrost. The melting of the permafrost also absorbs LHF, this time from the land and from the air, thus cooling both, temporarily.

Meanwhile, the melting of the terrestrial and marine permafrost deposits release trapped methane, a powerful green house gas, which in sufficient volume will generate its own positive feedback loop to melt even more permafrost and further warm the ocean and release even more methane.

It is now apparent that as long as there is ice in the Arctic to melt, thus absorbing LHF, global warming will be relatively. The melting of ice is to an extent self-retarding, since LHF cools the surroundings of the substance being melted, thus slowing the rate of melting.

Conversely, in the winter, when the ice refreezes, it release its Latent Heat of Fusion, thus warming the water and slowing the refreezing. And the refreezing of the Arctic has been slowing over the last 5 years.

This implies something of paramount importance. The melting of Arctic ice in global warming tends to cool the summers by abosrbing LHF through melting, and warms the winters by releasing LHF through refreezing. The latter, however, may end up being a cooling of the northern winter, because of the net loss of sea ice in that year, resulting in a net loss of LHF to the northern regions, including, for example, Vancouver, BC, which did experience a cooler winter in 2008/2009. The problem we face in the immediate future is that, as mentioned, the summer melting rate is increasing and the winter refreezing rate is decreasing, resulting in a net loss of ice and a net increase of LHF in the climatic system.

Unfortunately, no matter how fast the ice melts, the LHF absorption rate by ice-melting will decline with the decline of the total amount of ice to be melted. Since 2000, the Arctic has suffered a net-loss of about 2 trillion tons of sea ice. This means that while the planet is warming due to direct solar radiation and greenhouse-gas-heat-entrapment, it is cooled by the LHF removed from the climatic system due to the ice melt. This gives the Arctic ice the well deserved title of the “air conditioner of the planet”. But the capacity of this air conditioner diminishes the less there is left of the sea ice.

To quantify this somewhat, the LHF of water is 334 jules to melt one gram of ice or about 40 calories, which is about 160X the amount of heat needed to raise the same amount of water by 1C/1.6F(!) Since 2000, the Arctic has suffered a 2-trillion-tonne net loss of sea ice. One tonne = 1,000 kg = 1,000,000 g. 2-trillion-tonnes = 2,000,000,000,000,000 grams. At 40 caleries per gram, the total amount of LHF absorbed from the planet by the net ice-loss since 2000 is in the order of 80,000,000,000,000,000 caleries, which is a huge amount of heat removed from global warming. If the ice has completely melted off, this same amount of heat will remain in the system and contribute to global heating.

In fact, the faster the ice melts, the greater the cooling effect in the northern lands, and cold fronts could be more powerful for a few years, inciting comments again of, “Global warming? What global warming?” In this context, a more reasonable approach would be to see that a colder winter could mean faster Arctic ice-melt due to intensified warming of the Arctic Oceam by the Albedo effect.

But of course, the faster the ice melts, the less there will be left to melt, and the less LHF will be absorbed. The air-conditioner will wind down, and eventuall shut down. “Eventually” of course means the time when all the ice in the world has melted, including the Arctic sea ice, the Greenland ice sheet, the mountain glaciers and the Antarctic ice cover. But we don’t have to go that far to begin suffering major calamities all over the world. The Arctic Ocean will be 100% sea-ice-free in the summer of 2013, and it’s being 100% sea-ice-free in the winter will soon follow, meaning, within decades.

By now, any reader still with me will have concluded that this cooling will be short-lived, and we are currently enjoying the maximum of its cooling effect. Although the ice will continue to melt faster and faster, it’s total amount will continue to dwindle, and the amount of LHF absorbed will decline, eventually to zero when there is no ice left. At that point, because there is nothing left to absorb the quintillions of calories in LHFs, global warming speed will take a quantum leap, as if someone had cranked the tial to 10.

Since the Arctic sea ice is now half-gone, the cooling effect of the rest melting will decline. As I wrote earlier, we are currently enjoying the maximum cooling effect of the Arctic sea-ice meltdown. But it won’t last. Long before the Arctic becomes ice-free in the winter, perhaps as early as 2012, the global temperature may have begun an inexorable skyrocketing we may not be able to slow down, much less bring to a halt.

There might be some truth in the December 21, 2012 Doomsday prophesy after all. But if the end of the world is going to happen, the means would not be an asteroid strike or nuclear war war or alien invasion. It will be the detonation of the M-Bomb, known otherwise as the Methane Time-Bomb. While the A-Bomb is in terms of kilotons, and the H-Bomb is in terms megatons, the M-Bomb is in terms of gigatons. It is truly the Doomsday Machine. But it won’t go off in a flash as the A and H bombs do. The M-Bomb is a slow bomb, which will taken decades to spend, by which time there will be little left to live for.

The time to save the planet is – IMMEDIATELY OR SOONER!

Anthony Marr, founder and president
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.MySpace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.YouTube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.ARConference.org

M-Bomb – DOOMSDAY MACHINE


2009-01-06
CFUV radio

Co-Hosts:
Rick Habgood, Jack Etkin

Guest:
Anthony Marr

Title:
The Methane Time-Bomb
DOOMSDAY MACHINE

Go to http://www.myspace.com/AnthonyMarr

and it will start automatically.

Or save and play the following file:

http://files1.mailboxdrive.com/mp3s/a/anthony_marr@yahoo.com/878474.mp3

Thank you for listening.

Anthony Marr, founder and president
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.MySpace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.YouTube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.ARConference.org

M-Bomb – DOOMSDAY MACHINE


2009-01-06
CFUV radio

Co-Hosts:
Rick Habgood, Jack Etkin

Guest:
Anthony Marr

Title:
The Methane Time-Bomb
DOOMSDAY MACHINE

Go to http://www.myspace.com/AnthonyMarr

and it will start automatically.

Or save and play the following file:

http://files1.mailboxdrive.com/mp3s/a/anthony_marr@yahoo.com/878474.mp3

Thank you for listening.

Anthony Marr, founder and president
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.MySpace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.YouTube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.ARConference.org

Witch-burning is alive and well and happening in 21st Century Africa


To my horror, I just watched in one of the MySpace bulletins an extremely graphic video of witch-burning in Kis, West Africa, showing about five people being beaten with sticks, then pushed into a fire pit and actually burnt to death, while onlookers threw wood and leaves into the pit to keep the fire going. The perpetrators were reportedly “Christians”. But when I tried to repost the video, it had by then been yanked.
Still, it has caused me to write the following short piece, which I will post anyway:

– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –

Yesterday I posted a piece titled “Scientists Driven to Confront Politicians on Global Warming”. There is a separation of Church and State, but Science is the whipping boy for both, and has been for as long as Science has stood up for truth.

The first case of religious persecution of science, of a scientist, of a female scientist named Hypatia, occurred in Alexandria in 415 AD. The then Christian bishop Cyril condemned Hypatia for her “heretical” teachings, experimental science and pagan practices. She was denounced as “a woman who did not know her place”. Cyril’s preaching against Hypatia incited a mob led by fanatical Christian monks to have her dragged from her chariot, stripped, and flayed alive with oyster shells unto death. Her story needs to be told.

In the 3 centuries spanning 1400-1700 AD, the Church burnt 450, 000-9,000,000 people at the stake for witchcraft (predominantly women) and heresy (predominantly men).

My own personal hero Giordano Bruno (1548-1600) was one such heretic, whose heresy being to teach what we now know to be true (thank you, Science!): that the Earth is not fixed at the center of the Universe as the “infallible” Church then taught as “inerrant” truth, but that it moves in a Universe without a meaningful center, that the Sun does not revolve around the Earth as the Church then taught, but the Earth around the Sun, and that the stars are not pin-holes in some sky-vault through which heavenly light shone as the Church then taught, but distant suns, many with their own planets, some possibly with life and some even with civilization. Bruno was seized at age 44, tortured for 8 years throughout which he steadfastly refused to recant, at the end of which he, then a wrecked invalid, was burnt alive at the stake.
(For a photo essay see the global warming section of http://www.HOPE-CARE.org)

Most of the “witches” were single or widowed women with estate. The Church persuaded their neighbors to turn them in as witches, tortured them hideously until they confessed, burnt them alive as certified witches, and confiscated their estates.
(How do you think the Church became so filthy rich? Tax exemption?)

Finally, after some residual witch-hunts in America, the persecution has died down. Now, it’s just Creationists berating Evolutionists as “evil”.

But the persecution did not die out.

If you have the stomach for it, here is a video of “Christians” burning “witches” alive in West Africa, as we speak! (This was written while the video was still up. I think it immoral to yank such truth-revealing videos which the videographer might have risked his/her life to take, just because it offends some apathetic people’s sensitivity. These people do not have to watch it.)

Speaking of evil, in my humble opinion there is nothing more evil than human arrogance and cruelty in the name of God..

Anthony Marr, founder and president
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.MySpace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.YouTube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSave YourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.ARConference.org