GLOBAL EFFECT OF U.S. ECONOMIC COLLAPSE AND FISCAL CLIFF


Global Effect of U.S. “ECONOMIC COLLAPSE” and “FISCAL CLIFF”

This is about the global effects in the event of a likely ECONOMIC COLLAPSE in the U.S. around 2014-2015 versus the planned FISCAL CLIFF to be implemented in January 2013. This is not just economic theory. It concerns the daily lives of each and every one of us.

First let me define these in layman’s terms:

“ECONOMIC COLLAPSE” means first and foremost HYPERINFLATION, where the currency value plunges significantly if not totally over a short time period, which would be caused primarily by the exponentially burgeoning national debt load, currently standing at $16 Trillion, where the interest alone could out-weigh the entire national revenue, plus the loss of confidence in the said currency on a global basis. To illustrate this, the world has seen 57 bouts of hyperinflation in history. The 5th most severe one was in Germany in 1923, when prices doubled every 4.7 DAYS, which led to the rise of Hitler, the Nazis, the Jewish persecution, WW2 and the Holocaust. The top two most severe were in Hungary in 1946 and in Zimbabwe in 2008, when the prices doubled every 15 HOURS. Prices doubling means the currency value halving. So, if prices double in the U.S. once every month, then the U.S. Dollar’s value would be halved once every month. Your pay check, or pension check, would still show the same number of dollars, but your purchasing power would shrink accordingly. Lay-offs and home foreclosures would be rampant, numerous companies would fold, and unemployment would skyrocket. If the Dollar falls, say, to 20 cents of today’s value, a gallon of gasoline would cost $40, for starters. This would cause the transportation system, for one, to grind to a halt, leading to shortages and outrages of a full range of goods and services, including food, fuel, medicines, manufacturing parts, etc. People not laid-off would leave their jobs in droves, and all kinds of systems would fail, including electricity, water, even police and the military. By the German example, the social effects could be horrendous. This could happen any time; the latest estimate I have come across is 2015.

The “FISCAL CLIFF”, planned to take effect as of 2013. This is basically a self-administered austerity measure, or “belt-tightening”, towards reducing the burgeoning of the national debt. Instead of the nation borrowing more and more to maintain its standard of living and the facade of prosperity, it raises revenue, mostly by taxes increases to the tune of some $500 Billion, and expenditure reduction by about $110 Billion, mostly in cuts of non-essential social programs and the military, about 50/50. By these measures, the national could pull upwards of $600 Billion from the economy, thus alleviating the need to borrow the same amount. The result, of course, would be a diminished economy, where the purchasing power of the average consumer, and thus consumer goods transactions, would be reduced, and lay-offs, business closure and home foreclosures would rise. A new recession would descend across the land, and many would suffer, but this would hopefully forestall a full scale depression, and hopefully postpone it indefinitely.

Now what would the global effects of this FISCAL CLIFF be? Considering that the U.S. is the largest consumer of imported good, all nations exporting their goods to the U.S. would be drawn into the recession. Canada comes to mind, since the U.|S. is its biggest trading partner. If American demand for fuel decreases, Canadian oil exports will be dealt a blow – which from an environmental view point is a good thing. China is the largest exporter of consumer goods to the U.S. – check the labels of most items in Wal-Mart or Costco. If Americans buy less, China will export less. Chinese manufacturing will decline, and fall back on domestic consumption. But if the manufacturing sector shrinks, there will likewise be corresponding lay-offs in China, and the purchasing power of Chinese consumers will likewise decline, and so will the Chinese economy. The E.U. is already in serious economic turmoil, and any reduction of European exports to the U.S. will deal the European economy a serius blow.

And in the case of an American ECONOMIC COLLAPSE? Its global effects will that as depicted in the above paragraph times 10 or more. So, all in all, the FISCAL CLIFF and the ECONOMIC COLLAPSE are lose-lose proposition. Our decision is in whether we want to lose medium, or lose huge.

Anthony Marr, Founder and President
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
Global Anti-Hunting Coalition (GAHC)
Anthony-Marr@HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.facebook.com/Anthony.Marr.001
http://www.facebook.com/Global_Anti-Hunting_Coalition
http://www.myspace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.youtube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.DearHomoSapiens.blogspot.com
http://www.AnthonyMarr13.wordpress.com

Cold Tofurkey


Cold Tofurkey

 
I’m just play-acting in this pic with a rolled-up aluminum tube, but, yeah, I did use to smoke – like a chimney in fact, up to pack-and-a-half a day. Then one day in 1981, I noticed that no smoke had been emitted from the mouth of my dad, who used to smoke more than even me, for quite some time. It eluded me for easily a month. 

“Hey, dad, did you quit smoking?” I asked. 

“Yes, I did,” replied my dad in his usual quiet, stoic way. 

“When?” 

“Oh, about a couple of months ago.” 

“Really? How?” 

“Cold turkey (Chinese equivalent thereof).” 

“Did you slip?” 

“Just once, on the second day.” 

Since I’ve always wanted to do things better than my dad, I saw my opportunity. At about the same time, I moved to a new place. I’d read about moving being a good opportunity to quit, since there is no association between the new place and smoking. So I went for it. 

And I did beat my dad to the goal. No slippage for even one day. Day before moving, 1.5 packs; day after, zero. Not easy, but proven possible.

Anthony Marr, Founder and President
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE) 
Global Anti-Hunting Coalition (GAHC)
Anthony-Marr@HOPE-CARE.org 
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.facebook.com/Anthony.Marr.001
http://www.facebook.com/Global_Anti-Hunting_Coalition
http://www.myspace.com/AnthonyMarr 
http://www.youtube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.DearHomoSapiens.blogspot.com
http://www.AnthonyMarr13.wordpress.com

The Judas Paradox


The Judas Paradox

The Judas Paradox

When I was a secondary school student at Wah Yan College, Kowloon, Hong Kong, receiving Roman Catholic training under the Irish Jesuits, I studies the gospels of Matthew, Mark and Luke (but not John), and, the independent thinker that I was, still am, I really wondered about Judas, and had, still have, a certain amount of compassion for him. Eventually, it concluded upon what I now call “The Judas Paradox”.

Before stating the paradox, let me first state the basic premises as presented to me by the Catechism:

1. God is omnipresent, omniscient and omnipotent, i.e. “He” is everywhere, all-knowing and almighty.

2. Jesus is God-incarnate, albeit in human form, and therefore should be all-knowing and almighty.

3. Jesus taught, still teaches, all-embracing love and forgiveness.

4. The Church taught, still teaches, that suicide is a mortal sin, and a mortal sinner is damned for all time, in Hell. The Church’s doctrine is that Judas is in Hell, and being burnt as we speak.

The #3/#4 combination constitutes a monumental paradox unto itself.

But let’s just talk about the Judas Paradox as presented below:

1. Since, in #2 above, Jesus is God-incarnate, He would have been all-knowing, and therefore should have foreseen what Judas would do beforehand.

2. Since, in #3 above, Jesus was/is all-loving, He would love everyone, including Judas.

3. Since, in #3 above, Jesus was/is all-forgiving, He would have forgiven Judas, and not condemned him to eternal hell-fire.

4. Since, in #2 above, Jesus was/is almighty, He could have stopped Judas in doing what he eventually did, thus saving his soul, and yet, He did not.

My resolution of this paradox is as follows:

1. The Gospel is “the word of God”, cast in stone, and all Christians revere every word of it. They would not accept changing a single word in it. Therefore, what transpired in the betrayal was God-ordained and meant to be.

2. Christianity could not have been what it is without Jesus dying on the cross. In fact the very symbol of the cross could not have existed otherwise.

3. In order for Jesus to die on the cross, as depicted in the Gospel, he would have needed someone to betray him, and this someone was Judas.

4. In the last supper, Jesus said that the one dipping his bread at the same time He did would be the one to betray him, and Judas did dip his bread at the same time Jesus did his. The conventional interpretation is that Judas unwittingly dipped his bread at the same time Jesus dipped his. My interpretation is that Jesus intentionally dipped his bread at the same time Judas dipped his, as an order for Judas to betray him, thus fulfilling the Gospel-to-be. And Judas was the only one of the 12 to understand Jesus on this score. He committed suicide because he could not bear the unforgiving condemnation from his peers.

Q.E.D.

Anthony Marr, Founder and President
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
Global Anti-Hunting Coalition (GAHC)
Anthony-Marr@HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.facebook.com/Anthony.Marr.001
http://www.facebook.com/Global_Anti-Hunting_Coalition
http://www.myspace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.youtube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.DearHomoSapiens.blogspot.com
http://www.AnthonyMarr13.wordpress.com

THE WORST WASTE OF THE GREATEST PUBLIC EDUCATIONAL OPPORTUNITY


The worst waste of the greatest public educational opportunity

The American presidential election is over and done with, but so are the $1.5+ billion dollars spent, millions of man-hours of organizing, research and outreach, and thousands of hours of media exposure. All in all, it was a colossal waste of talent, passion, time and money, which could have been spent in solving the pressing problems of environmental degradation, national debt woes and climate change. It was a monumental squandering of the greatest public educational opportunity money can create, especially given the ignorance that prevails in society on these key issues, which were not once mentioned, much less debated upon. It was the same old same old health care, taxation, employment and military supremacy, which are of no educational, social and environmental value, and most of the promises won’t be kept anyway. So, at the end of election day, the 50% of the public that already know and care are not in the least empowered, and the 50% of the public that don’t know and don’t care are left quagmired in their current ignorance and apathy for another 4 crucial years.

Some object to this post, saying that the issued not even mentioned in the presidential debates, in fact throughout the campaign, are not what the voters wanted to hear and therefore wouldn’t win the candidates any votes. Then I have this to say:

The question then becomes whether the national “leaders” should make good the term and lead the people, or follow the stragglers of society. By just saying what “the people” want to hear, obviously, they are the latter, and not only that, they are pulling the leading edge of society back, and silencing it. So now, it is the blind leading the blind. It is political opportunism at its best!

Anthony Marr, Founder and President
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
Global Anti-Hunting Coalition (GAHC)
Anthony-Marr@HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.facebook.com/Anthony.Marr.001
http://www.facebook.com/Global_Anti-Hunting_Coalition
http://www.myspace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.youtube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.DearHomoSapiens.blogspot.com
http://www.AnthonyMarr13.wordpress.com
http://www.ARConference.org

The essence of “Fiscal Cliff”


The essence of “Fiscal Cliff”

For many, “Fiscal Cliff”, planned to take effect in the first week of 2013, has never been once heard until the day AFTER the presidential election. What does it mean? What will it do for American society? What will it do to you?

I’ll say straight out: You won’t like it. Many will hate it. It will result in less money in your pocket, costlier medical coverage, higher unemployment, a leaner military and a new recession. But the alternative – to can Fiscal Cliff – will be worse, much worse.

The problem that Fiscal Cliff is intended to solve is to reduce the Deficit by approximately $120 billion a year or $1.2 trillion over 10 years. If achieved, this will ease the national debt burden which otherwise could crush the economy, though not eliminate it. This will delay the Dollar Crash, though not prevent it. It will buy the U.S. time to find a long term solution to bypass the Economic Collapse, if one exists.

It involves moving about $500 billion a year from society at large into the government coffers, so that the government need borrow less money than otherwise.

This is to be accomplished by 1. increasing tax revenue, and 2. reducing social and military expenditure.

It is essentially an austerity measure which will likely result in a painful recession, but will hopefully forestall a crushing depression.

Anthony Marr, Founder and President
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
Global Anti-Hunting Coalition (GAHC)
Anthony-Marr@HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.facebook.com/Anthony.Marr.001
http://www.facebook.com/Global_Anti-Hunting_Coalition
http://www.myspace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.youtube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.DearHomoSapiens.blogspot.com
http://www.AnthonyMarr13.wordpress.com

Societal-narcotic-induced euphoria


Societal-narcotic-induced euphoria

 

As I watch CNN – the sizzling excitement, the mass hysteria, the months and billions of dollars spent in the election campaign, the words and phrases repeated and repeated in the debates (taxes, jobs, Middle Class…) and the words and phrase that are deliberated buried (environment, climate change, global warming, animal abuse, national debt, fiat currency, quantitative easing, bank runs, dollar crash, hyperinflation, economic collapse, depression, world reserve currency…), where the minor differences between the contenders touch not their colossal common unworkability – I shake my head in resignation. All this misdirected vital energy drained down a nation-wide non-sequitur. The result doesn’t matter, no more than a change of guards, or not, on the same rotting and already rotten ship, which will sink in the next fiscal storm. The whole charade is like a shot of narcotics into society to raise it to a year-long euphoria over nothing. And when it comes back down tomorrow, it will be the same inescapable deteriorating reality.

Anthony Marr, Founder and President
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE) 
Global Anti-Hunting Coalition (GAHC)
Anthony-Marr@HOPE-CARE.org 
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.facebook.com/Anthony.Marr.001
http://www.facebook.com/Global_Anti-Hunting_Coalition
http://www.myspace.com/AnthonyMarr 
http://www.youtube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.DearHomoSapiens.blogspot.com
http://www.AnthonyMarr13.wordpress.com

The Coming Unprecedented American Cat/Dog Holocaust


The Coming Unprecedented American Cat/Dog Holocaust

AMERICA FACES AN UNPRECEDENTED CAT/DOG HOLOCAUST WITHIN 3 YEARS (not what you think)
Anthony Marr’s reluctant warning to the Animal Rights Community
Warning: Not for faint-hearted!Not even cat-loving and dog-revering Americans are above eating cats and dogs when the requisite conditions arise. One of the revered American heroes – Captain Meriwether Lewis of the great Lewis and Clark Expedition – habitually ate dogs, as provided by the native tribes en route, during the latter part of their strenuous journey.Not to mention eating their horses and dogs, they might even turn cannibalistic in dire straights, as per the heroic Donner Party.

Another historical account has it that: “It happened in the winter of 1874. Five prospectors hired a man to guide them across the San Juan Mountains. Weather was severe that winter; the men fought huge snowdrifts and extreme low temperatures. Progress was very slow. No game for hunting was to be found, and the party ran out of food. Up at the Slumgullion Pass, they had already boiled and eaten their moccasins. Six weeks later, only the guide showed up at Los Pinos, claiming he had lost the others in a snowstorm. Reality was different. A search party of natives revealed that Alfred Packer had probably killed his companions while they were sleeping and partially eaten them…”

Another example is the Uruguayan rugby team stranded in the Andes Mountains after a plane crash in 1972, resorting to cannibalism as portrayed in the book and film [Alive]. Yet another is Easter Island, where the inhabitants ended their culture in cannibalism after cutting down every last tree for sleds to transport their colossal statues, trees with which they also used for making cutout-canoes for their then pelagic fishery, which then of course collapsed.

It is said that under starvation conditions, food is all one can think about, and morality evaporates into thin air, however principled one used to be under normal conditions. In the last stage of starvation, the starving often resort to ingesting stones, fully knowing that this will kill them agonizingly in short order. It is all in the moment. So, under desperate circumstances, it is not impossible that people may look upon cats and dogs, the predominant urban non-human animals, as food, especially given the large populations of all three in deep urban environments. To put it bluntly, America, urban America at least, may become a cat/dog-eating nation after all other food types have been exhausted.

And what would such desperate circumstances be that could drive normally cat/dog-loving Americans to take such a plunge?

Assuming that the economic theory predicting an imminent Dollar Crash is correct, and I believe it is, America will suffer HYPERINFLATION, resulting in social disintegration and chaos, by 2015 if not before, which would make the 2008 housing crash look like a prelude to a full-blooded symphony. The scenario in the title is very much the logical conclusion.

About HYPERINFLATION, just how hyper an inflation makes it “hyperinflation”?

Let me present the top 6 of the 57 that have struck human civilization in history, so far:

#6. 1944 – Greece – peaked in October with a DAILY inflation rate of 17.84% – prices doubled every 4.3 days.

#5. 1923 – the Weimar Republic in Germany – peaked in October with a daily inflation rate of 20.87% – prices doubled every 3.7 days.

#4. 1994 – the Sprpska Republic – peaked in January with a daily inflation rate of 64.30% – prices doubled every 1.4 days.

#3. 1994 – Yugoslavia – peaked in January with a daily inflation rate of 64.63% – prices doubled every 1.4 days.

#2. 2008 – Zimbabwe – peaked in November with a daily inflation rate of 98.01% – prices doubled every 24.7 hours.

#1. 1946 – Hungary – peaked in July with a daily inflation rate of 207.19% – prices doubled every 15.0 hours.

And let me caution:

1. some societies did not survive their hyperinflation;

2. #5 led to the rise of Hitler, Nazism, the Jewish persecution, the Second World War and the Holocaust; and

3. if/when it hits the U.S. it will be like Hurricane Sandy compared to a mild noreaster. The rate may not be quite as steep, but the scale will be astronomical.

Ignore at our peril.

In this scenario, the following background condition will prevail:

1. There will likely be bank runs accompanied by stock-market plunges. The Dollar will be worth mere cents, or downright the proverbial “not worth the paper it is printed on”. Even the rich, if all they have is paper money, will become the poor overnight. People will turn to bartering to get what they need.

2. As the Dollar plummets, the prices of all commodities will skyrocket; both mean the same thing. Gasoline, for example, will cost $30 per gallon upward, likewise for a loaf of bread, that is, if they have not all been gobbled up in the initial days already.

3. The transportation system will grind to a halt – land, air and sea. Private vehicles may run until their tanks are dry, then abandoned where they stop. Government vehicles will keep on running for a period, but they likely will not be used for the transportation of food.

4. All imported food will disappear from grocery shelves. All still available will be local produce and very limited in quantity, and these will be priced so high as to be beyond the means of perhaps even the “Middle Class”.

5. People on fixed income may continue to receive their checks, or not, and even if they do, the amount will be the same as before, rendering it all but worthless. Even if there is food on the shelf, a single serving may cost their entire check.

6. Food riots will erupt, complete with looting and pillaging, and the associated raping and killing. The government will not be able to provide food for the people. What it can do is to impose martial law; good bye constitutional rights. The federal government has recently placed an order for nearly 2 Billion rounds of hollow-point bullets and thousands of bullet-proof kiosks. It will be civil war between the army and a well-armed but anarchic public.

7. Those with some foresight and who take this economic forecast seriously may have stockpiled several weeks’ or months’ worth of water and food, while those not having done any preparation will begin to starve within days. Food-wise, it will be the Haves and the Have-Nots, and the latter will take drastic measures they wouldn’t in civil society. There will be home invasions from house to house in quest for water and food, especially in the depths of major metropolises like New York City, Chicago, Detroit, Houston, Boston and Los Angeles.

8. Global-warming-induced-droughts may itself trigger the collapse, and will worsen the already desperate situation so that not even people in the agricultural regions, e.g. the Mid-West, are immune to starvation. In Chinese history, for example, there are cases of mass starvation impacting hundreds of thousands or even millions due to droughts right there in the Central Plain, the Chinese equivalent of the American “Bread Basket”. Countries like Ethiopia and Somalia are recent or current examples. While previously when America felt the pinch, she could always count on food importation, this time, she will be out of purchasing power, plus, other countries will likely have food shortages of their own.

9. Those living near ranches, farms and factory farms will raid them for their produce, chickens, pigs and cows. Those living in the country will hunt and fish for subsistence, until the deer, bears, fowl, fish… are hunted and fished out of existence. Those who are trapped in the depths of metropolises, without access to water, crops, orchards and “food animals”, will raid each other of whatever food they can get, including household cat and dogs.

10. Finally, cat/dog guardians, who will have trouble feeding themselves, will have trouble feeding their cats and dogs.

When I say that America may turn into a cat/dog-eating nation, I am not talking about cat/dog guardians eating their own “pets”. I am talking about the general population eating other people’s dogs and cats. Bearing in mind that over 95% of Americans eat meat, it will be an easy transition for them to include cats and dogs in their “diet”.

But this may be only a transitional phase. These same people, after the cats and dogs have been eaten out, and when starvation really sets in, may go one logical step further, as the Donner Party, the Uruguayan rugby players and the Easter Islanders did, but it will be the last resort.

And what will urban vegans do if all plant-based food in major cities have been exhausted, and they have no resources with which to leave the city? I dread to imagine. If I am still stuck in the city “when the shit hits the fan”, I will be one of them.

Can we prevent this from happening? Yes and No.

The “No” will be an outright rejection and refusal of any lowering of the standard of living today, imposed by the government or otherwise, causing the government to borrow more and more, and the Federal Reserve to print billions of paper dollars more every month, leading the inflation to further steepen, when the country is already caving under the crushing $17 Trillion national debt and teetering on the brink of bankruptcy.

The “Yes” will have to be a nation-wide austerity measure BEFORE the collapse arrives, voluntary or otherwise, which will have to include the drastic lowering of living standards, the cutting of many social programs, and a significant reduction of the military expenditure. It will be a choice between half-a-cup which can still marginally sustain and an empty cup if the collapse does occur.

We all know which alternative Americans at large will take. Of course the causes are far more complex, including the decline and fall of the Dollar as the World Reserve Currency, the rise of other currencies in the world market, taxation, business closures, unemployment, housing crash, stock-market crash, bank runs, etc., but all in all, there does not appear to be a third alternative.

I asked Shannon Wright whether I should publish this blog to the AR community. She quipped, “People may think that Anthony Marr has lost his mind.” I then asked her to find holes in my reasoning, and she could find none, assuming that the Economic Collapse theory is correct, which is not the point in question here. Finally, she added that people need to think or at least hear about it, if only for the animals under their care. So, I have decided to go for it.

In this context, my advice to all is to move out of large metropolises ASAP if at all feasible, to a place with water and food potential – not particularly an isolated farm house which could be highly vulnerable to home-invasions, but a small community that could communally feed and defend itself, and provide itself with renewable energy should the power grid fail and conventional fuel stops to flow.

I issued the above caution to a personal friend of mine living in the depths of a large city whose personal safety and that of his/her cats/dogs I cared about, but received insult and scorn in return. So when I issue this seemingly outlandish warning to the entire AR community, albeit reluctantly, I stand to be mob-lynched. So here is a personal plea to all:

Kindly do not lynch me. I am only the well-meaning messenger.

Anthony Marr, Founder and President
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
Global Anti-Hunting Coalition (GAHC)
Anthony-Marr@HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.facebook.com/Anthony.Marr.001
http://www.facebook.com/Global_Anti-Hunting_Coalition
http://www.myspace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.youtube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.DearHomoSapiens.blogspot.com
http://www.AnthonyMarr13.wordpress.com