THE COMING PROBABLE COLLAPSE OF HIGH TECH CULTURES


ON THE COMING PROBABLE COLLAPSE OF HIGH TECH CULTURES

We don’t have to wait for global warming to bake us in the inescapable atmospheric oven before we begin to suffer. The collapse of techno civilization will come even sooner, where, in a normal summer afternoon at 50C/122F in the shade, where often there is no shade, you will not be able to run your A/Cs due to prolonged blackouts, and you won’t be able to have even temporary relief with your car’s A/C, because there will be no gasoline to run your car.

This will come abruptly in the not too distant future, perhaps a matter of one or two decades if not mere years, when our ever escalating demand for oil intersects oil’s own geometrical decline. Given that peak oil is long past, while peak demand is still somewhere in the murky future, the crash is inevitable. I have always shaken my head in disbelief when I read about projections saying that by year 2050 we will have cut oil consumption by so many percent. It never fails to amaze me to see people still buying new gasoline cars, when the days of affordable oil, and of oil itself, are numbered.

The oil-price graph will have peaks and valleys in micro-adjustments to supply and demand, but it will be in a generally upward trend due to the ever-rising demand and the ever dwindling supply. And there will come a time when one of these peaks will rise so high as to be unreachable by individuals and corporations alike. Oil companies are deviously inducing consumers to burn as much gas as possible for their maximum short-term profit, but in so doing, they hasten their own demise, alas, along with our own.

When this happens, the energy-dependent societal infrastructures, most notably the transportation system, especially that sector dealing with food distribution, be it in the form of trucks, trains, ships or planes, will all more or less grind to a halt. Grocery store shelves previously brimming with imported food such as spinach from China or bananas from Latin America, will be empty. Gasoline pumps will be dry. Abandoned car will be everywhere, many with keys left in the ignition, and no one will steal them.

Those who are well grounded in the global communication network, such as FaceBook, and cell-phones, should get used to the idea that the World Wide Web will have disintegrated, and they will feel isolated.

When we have fuel and food in the same sentence, something has to give. In the face of severe fuel and food shortage, and they are related, we have to decide on whether to use our drought shrunken crops of soy and corn for food or for fuel (ethanol), and in the case of food on whether the soy and corn should serve as human food or cattle feed, bearing in mind that it take 10-20kg of feed to produce 1kg of meat. If the former, the cattle will starve, and if the latter, then while the super-rich will continue munching on juicy steaks, the masses of humans will starve. The sad situation is that even the best scenario is a bad scenario, because there is simply no net-good human action that will result in any good scenario.

Major metropolises such as London, Los Angeles or New York City, and cities that are normally hot and dry, like Las Vegas or Phoenix, will not be pleasant places to be in. Given the stagnation of the food transportation system, most food available will be locally grown, it will be difficult to grow enough food within a large city to feed the entire populace, especially factoring in water shortages. I would not rule out emaciated corpses in the street. Law and order will have broken down and robbing and looting will be commonplace. And when it comes to the dead of winter closing in, many will be frozen to death.

Residents will try to emigrate to surrounding areas, by bicycle or on foot, but where are they to go? Along the miles and miles of hot and dry highways people will drop like flies. And those surviving will overwhelm the surround rural areas. If your family has a small farm on the outskirts of a major metropolis, consider it taken over and you possibly ousted if not killed. I suspect that gun-fire will be a common sound. The murder rate will be by the dozen per day.

There will be areas where the impact will be less severe, which are already serviced by electricity grids centred upon extant large-scale solar and wind installations, e.g. parts of eastern California and central Texas. Bear in mind, however, that most of our day to day commodities are derived from oil, including all plastic products, tires (each car tire requires 7 gallons of gasoline to make), pharmaceuticals, electronics, computers, buildings, and basically everything that requires oil to manufacture (e.g. entire cars). So, once these items have been used up, it cannot be expected that new products will take their place.

This does not necessarily mean that there will be no oil left anywhere in the world, but much of it will be in government controlled storage facilities for the most essential of governmental services, perhaps to the tune of several hundred million barrels in the United States. This may sound like a lot, but the formula is that one billion barrels can feed the current U.S. demand for only 8 weeks. If civilian usage is cut off, it would last longer, but not forever. And a large part of it will still go towards the military against likely oil-grab invasions, or worse, towards invading another country for their oil-in-storage, or whatever oil fields that still remain. Canada, with its still extensive tar sands, for example, will be a prime target, and the Arctic, with its ice cap melted off and its polar oil reservoirs accessible to deep water drilling, as well as its easily accessible methane hydrate deposits on land and on the shallow continental shelves, will likely be a global battlefield.

So, what can the individual citizens do to ensure their own survival? This brings us to the concept of the deep rural green community, which should have the following properties:

1. It should be beyond walking distance from a major metropolis, and topographically easy to defend.

2. It should be water-self-sufficient, i.e. on a river-front, lake-front, or has its own year-round stream or well, as well as enough rainfall.

3. It should be food-self-sufficient, i.e. endowed with a good stock of foundational organic seeds (no Monsanto please!), and enough land to produce enough food for the entire community.

4. It should be energy-self-sufficient, employing renewable energy sources only with on site solar panels and wind turbines, some biofuels, all electric appliances, including electric vehicles, solar cars for long distance travel, and enough batteries to store enough electricity.

5. It should comprise people with a broad range of knowledge and skills, including academic, agricultural, medical and technical.

6. It should be animal-friendly, both domestic and wild.

If you would like to explore this idea further, please like and comment.

Good luck to us all.

Anthony Marr, Founder and President
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
Global Anti-Hunting Coalition (GAHC)
Anthony-Marr@HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.facebook.com/Anthony.Marr.001
http://www.facebook.com/Global_Anti-Hunting_Coalition
http://www.myspace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.youtube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.DearHomoSapiens.blogspot.com
http://www.AnthonyMarr13.wordpress.com

The Saviour Species launches Asteroid Warning System


We Homo Sapiens have a death wish, in fact, more death wishes than one. For one thing, we are rushing headlong, knowingly, down a course of self-destruction. And for another, we consciously wish death on ourselves and extinction upon our own species.

While the former is evident everywhere we look, the latter is prevalent especially in the animal rights and environmental movements. It goes something like this: “We are evil and cruel and a scourge against all life on Earth. If we go extinct, the planet would return to Eden. Human abuse of animals shall cease. Therefore, we should go extinct.” I might have said so myself once upon a time. There are even popular television shows like [Life After People] which illustrates how the post-human planet would regain its pre-human ecological balance, and all species would live happily ever after.

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All species could and likely would live happily ever after without humans, but for one factor which would seal their fate, the collective fate of global instantaneous mass extinction. Asteroids.

Not if but when – another big one will come smashing down which could do unto the mammals and birds what the last one 64 million years ago did unto the dinosaurs. It is a certainty, and it is statistically over-due. It could be another million years, but it could also be next month. It is a matter of time. And when it is all said and done, the tigers, the elephants, the eagles, the dolphin, the whales…, will all be wiped out with or without our help. Nothing can be done about it once the impact has occurred. But we, our species Homo Sapiens, can help by diverting the asteroid from Earth.

Case in point, witness the June 8, 2012, Huffington Post article [Asteroid Warning System: Report Calls For International Effort To Avert Possible Catastrophe]:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/06/08/asteroid-warning-system-report-catastrophe_n_1580371.html

Indeed, on this planet, at this time, short of alien or divine intervention, ours is the only species that can carry out such a world-saving mission. Forget not that it was a human being who said: “With the power comes the responsibility”.

Sooner or later, if we survive ourselves in the mean time, we will prove our worth as a Universe-honoured “Saviour Species”.

Even without this consideration, our species is not ALL cruel nor ALL evil, we are also kind and compassionate. Our dark side is pitch black, but our bright side is brilliant. To condemn and wish extinction on the entire species is to “throw the baby out with the bath water.” Do let us by all means discard the bath water, but we must nurture the baby who will grow up to be a saviour.

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Anthony Marr, Founder and President
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
Global Anti-Hunting Coalition (GAHC)
Anthony-Marr@HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.facebook.com/Anthony.Marr.001
http://www.facebook.com/Global_Anti-Hunting_Coalition
http://www.myspace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.youtube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.DearHomoSapiens.blogspot.com
http://www.AnthonyMarr13.wordpress.com

“If the world is on the brink, why am I not feeling it?”


Referring to the Huffington article [World Nearing Tipping Point For Disastrous Breakdown, Study Finds], someone asked me, “If the world is on the brink, why don’t we feel it?”

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The answer is three-fold:

1.  Earth’s atmosphere and hydrosphere are both immense.  Any cause-input will take 2-3 decades to produce the effect-output.  This said, the cause-input began becoming significant as of about mid-last-century, and it has been continuous and increasing.  So, in spite of the time lag, we’ve had measurable results, chief amongst which is the 0.9C mean global temperature rise from the baseline of 1880 when the Industrial Revolution began.  Also more than obvious are the melting glaciers around the world, including those in the Himalayas, Greenland and the Antarctic, and the Arctic sea ice.  Of course none of these is in anyone’s backyard, so, for those with no or little awareness beyond their own physical or event horizons, “nothing is happening”.

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2.  Carbon dioxide is a stable gas and is therefore cumulative in the atmosphere to continue warming the planet for centuries to come.  Even if we stopped burning fossil fuels yesterday, what we have already pumped into the atmosphere will be enough to trigger the deadly Methane Time Bomb.  But, for now, nothing SEEMS to be happening, and we carry on business as usual.

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3.  Least known is the mechanism of LATENT (hidden) HEAT.  Anyone who does not know what Latent Heat is will have a false sense of security.  It is not hard to understand if I do not use physics jargon.  Place on a hot stove a pot of cold water containing 1 kg of ice cubes.  Stir the ice water with a long thermometer and take temperature readings.  My question is:  When will the thermometer begin to show a rise in temperature?  Answer: After all the ice has melted.  In other words, all the heat from the stove would first all go into melting the ice, WITHOUT RAISING THE WATER TEMPERATURE.  The amount of heat entering a system WITHOUT raising the temperature of the system is called Latent Heat.  It takes 80 calories of heat to melt one gram of ice.  So in this case, the first 80,000 calories of heat from the stove went into melting the 1 kg of ice first.  Only when the ice is all gone will the water temperature rise, and it will do so until it reaches 100C, when the water will begin to boil.  Once again, Latent Heat comes into play, and the water temperature will stabilize at the boiling point – until all the water have changed from liquid to vapour, at which point the temperature of the dry pot will rise to the temperature of the flame itself.  So how does this apply to Earth’s climate?  Consider the Arctic Ocean to be a gigantic pot of ice water, and the sun as the stove.  For as long as there is still sea ice to melt, the Arctic Ocean will remain relatively cool, in spite of the ever increasing solar heat entering the Arctic ocean due to ever decreasing ice cover.  When the sea ice is gone in the summer, as early as the latter part of this decade, the Arctic Ocean’s temperature WILL STEEPLY RISE, and when it does, so will the global mean temperature, and all hell will break lose.

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So, enjoy the “Arctic Air Conditioner” while it lasts, and be prepared to sweat after it quits.  And when it happens, believe me, you WILL FEEL THE HEAT!

This species is failing its Cosmic Test


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The Universe has 100 billion galaxies, each with 100-300 billion stars and their planets.  The species in question is self-named Homo Sapiens – Man The Wise – of the planet Earth of the Solar System of the Milky Way Galaxy of the Universe.  And the Cosmic Test for Homo Sapiens has begun, and Homo Sapiens is showing unmistakable signs of flunking it.

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So, what is this Cosmic Test?  It has to do with all kinds of commodities, but for simplicity let’s say – oil.  The planet has more oil than can be burnt without being driven into the lethal Runaway Global Heating mode.  The species in control of this oil must know when to stop on its own accord to avoid baking itself and millions of other species alive within decades.  It must have the foresight and self-governance to leave the tar sands in the ground.

Now that the tar sands have been exhumed, the evil genie has been released from the bottle and Pandora’s box has been opened.  And it won’t end until all its in-ground carbon has been released into the atmosphere.  It is a one-way slide into hell on Earth.  And I am holding Stephen Harper personally responsible.

All planets with life and civilization develop at different speeds and stages, and will each sooner or later stage a Cosmic Test of its own, each in its own time. At this very point in universal time, the planet staging a Cosmic Test is the Earth, and the test subject is its species Homo Sapiens, and Homo Sapiens is the species that exhumed the tar sands.

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Be not surprised that planet Earth is being observed by immeasurably higher civilizations in the galactic realm.  But be not expectant of extraterrestrial intervention in the nick of time; due to the Interstellar Non-Interference Protocol, there won’t be any.  All planetary eggs must hatch on its own, or be still born.

In the Cosmic Test, the rule is simple:

Survival of the Wise.

Let the destructive commit self-destruction, and the wise shall inherit the Universe.  And Homo Sapiens must live up to its name.

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Savior Species Homo Sapiens


As an ARA of Chinese extraction, I often hear two death wishes: Death to “the Chinese race”, and death to the human species.

Some ARAs consciously reject racism, but unknowingly subscribe to speciesism, that is, against the species Homo Sapiens. This is not speciesism as we usually know it, i.e. humans looking down on other species, but it is humans looking down on the human species, and it is speciesism nonetheless.

Being Chinese I think in Yin-Yang terms. So, Homo Sapiens, too, has Ying Yang sides – e.g. good and evil. I do not think of ridding the planet of Homo Sapiens, but to rid Homo Sapiens of its dark side. The bright side of Homo Sapiens can be brilliant, and, practically speaking, can serve a life-saving purpose for life on Earth.

It is not if, but when, another asteroid will come tumbling down, one comparable in magnitude to the one that wiped out the dinosaurs 64 million years ago. Except this time, it will wipe out the mammals and birds. When this happens, only a species with high tech can deflect the asteroid and save life on Earth. And for the planet Earth it is Homo Sapiens. In this context, Homo Sapiens can be said to be the Savior Species.

But, true, we must first save life on Earth from ourselves, and that is a very tall order.

Anthony Marr, Founder and President
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
Global Anti-Hunting Coalition (GAHC)
Anthony-Marr@HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.facebook.com/Anthony.Marr.001
http://www.facebook.com/Global_Anti-Hunting_Coalition
http://www.myspace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.youtube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.DearHomoSapiens.blogspot.com
http://www.HOPE-GEO.blogspot.com
http://www.ARConference.org

3 shrew in a terrarium


Shrews are the smallest mammalian predators on Earth. The Etruscan shrew (Suncus etruscus), weighing only 2 grams, is the smallest living terrestrial mammal.

They are so tiny that their energy expenditure per unit mass is the highest amongst all mammals, so much so that they require 3 times their own body weight in food just to stay alive, making them gram-for-gram the most voracious predators on Earth.

Someone once kept 3 shrews in a terrarium. One day, he was late for work and forgot to feed them. Guess what he found in the terrarium when he came home in the evening?

A lot of shrew droppings, and the front half of one shrew.

Finally, he figured out what happened: First, two of the shrews killed and ate the third. Second, one of the remaing two killed and ate the other. Third, in desperation, the last shrew ate itself alive from the tail up.

This means that an animal would rather eat itself alive than starve to death.

The 200 or so nations on the planet today are like the three shrews in the terrarium. Think about it.

Anthony Marr, Founder and President
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
Global Anti-Hunting Coalition (GAHC)
Anthony-Marr@HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.facebook.com/Anthony.Marr.001
http://www.facebook.com/Global_Anti-Hunting_Coalition
http://www.myspace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.youtube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.DearHomoSapiens.blogspot.com
http://www.HOPE-GEO.blogspot.com
http://www.ARConference.org

200 national amoebae in a global pond


It would be strange enough for a human to dream of being a non-human – a lion maybe, an eagle, even a dragonfly, but of everything on Earth, he dreamed of being an amoeba, one living on the bottom of the pond beside which he was sleeping.


“He”, the amoeba, had climbed up the stem of a bulrush, a “Stairway to Heaven” in amoebal lingo, for the pond was his universe, the realm beyond which being “Heaven”.


He was pushing as hard as he could to penetrate the water/air barrier, in vain. Finally, in frustration, exhaustion and resignation, he began his dispirited descent back towards his bottom-feeding, amoeba-eat-amoeba existence, when he heard, “What are you doing, my friend?”

He looked around and encountered a spherical being attached to the Stairway, glowing luminously in the filtered moonlight. Despite its being many sizes larger than him, it seemed benign, and he felt at ease.

“I’m trying to go to Heaven,” he said, without shame.

“I’m glad you’ve failed, since you would have died had you succeeded.”

“Who are you?”

“My name is Raminothna.”

“What are you?”

“I am an egg.”


“What is an egg?”

“An egg is a single cell that will develop into a multicellular organism.”

“What is a, what you say, multicellular organism?”

“In the present context, it is something that, unlike you, can go to your Heaven – without dying in the process.”

“I want so badly to go!” he lamented without reservation. “I’m tired of my mundane existence. I want to transcend to a higher realm and live with the gods!”

“I can appreciate the sentiment, but I’m afraid you are going about it the wrong way,” said the egg without condescension.

“Oh yeah? Well, if you know the right way, why are you still stuck in here, eh? At least I have some freedom of movement, unlike you!”

“I will be out of this pond before the next full moon.”

“You are quite sure of yourself, aren’t you?”

“I know what will happen.”

“So, how will it happen?”

“By means of Integrative Transcendence.”

“Come again?”

“Integrative Transcendence.”

“Two huge words. I can’t handle even one of it.”

“Tell me. How do you reproduce?”

“I beg your pardon?”

“How do you reproduce?”

“That’s a bit personal, don’t you think?”

“You did ask.”

“Okay, I reproduce asexually, by dividing into two, then two into four, four into eight, eight into sixteen, and so on. How about you?”

“The same.”

“So, what is the difference?”

“You are a single cell and I’m a single cell, but the difference lies in how we reproduce, and how our descendants will behave. Now tell me. Are your descendants detached or attached to each other?”

“Detached.”

“Are they differentiated or identical?”

“Identical.“

“Are they mutually competitive or cooperative?”

“Mutually competitive, for food – bacteria mostly, if not other amoebae. And what about your descendants? Are they detached or attached?”

“They are attached to each other.”

“So they can’t crawl about as we do?”

“No, they cannot.”

“So, they don’t even have the freedom of movement? Then I don’t see how you can teach me anything.”

“Here is how. Unlike your descendants, mine will be differentiated in relation to each other, both structurally and behaviorally. And though they will be stuck fast to each other, they will share a discontinuously higher level of collective freedom.”

“I don’t see it.”

“Of course not, since you have no facility of sight.”

“Now that’s un-called-for!”

“My apologies. Okay, let me explain. Some of my descendants will become eyes so all can see the sights of your Heaven; others will become legs so all can walk with gigantic strides; some will form protective armor so all can live in the rarified atmosphere; still others will become wings so all can fly in the heavenly winds, not just from pond to pond, but clear over the mountain, not at your amoebal speed of a meter per day, but at 100 kilometers per hour. A quantum leap in power if you’ve ever imagined one.”

“Wow! What kind of a god that would that make?”

“A dragonfly.”


“A DRAGONfly, sounds formidable. How big is it?”

“On your scale, immense, like a spaceship, one that can delivery its own millions of highly social crew members out of this pond into your Heaven, there to live together as one, as the living dragonfly itself.”

“Can you take me along?”

“I would love to, but I can’t. You are a non-social cell, and do not qualify. You’ll have to socialize yourself first.”

“What do you mean ‘socialize’? You mean to get my kids to stick together, differentiate and cooperate? That’d never happen.”

“Not for a billion years or so.”

“That’s an eternity!”

“But from what I hear, amoebae never die, they just multiply forever. You’ll get there one day.”

“You think?”

“Just remember those two words.”

“Those two huge words? You’ll have to run them past me again.”

“No problem. Ready?”

“Ready.”

“INTEGRATIVE TRANSCENDENCE.”

“Integrative Transcendence.”


http://youtu.be/LtKcGIc9doo

Anthony Marr, Founder and President
Heal Our Planet Earth (HOPE)
Global Anti-Hunting Coalition (GAHC)
Anthony-Marr@HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.HOPE-CARE.org
http://www.facebook.com/Anthony.Marr.001
http://www.facebook.com/Global_Anti-Hunting_Coalition
http://www.myspace.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.youtube.com/AnthonyMarr
http://www.HomoSapiensSaveYourEarth.blogspot.com
http://www.DearHomoSapiens.blogspot.com
http://www.HOPE-GEO.blogspot.com
http://www.ARConference.org